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class=infotextkey>“9._blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>29_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新_blank class=infotextkey>政_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>八条_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”等_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>调控_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政策,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大幅提_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高了二套_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>首付_blank class=infotextkey>比例_blank class=infotextkey>以及_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款利息,个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房贷余额_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增速随之_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>回落,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>201_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2年二季度_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>回落至_blank class=infotextkey>11%。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>201_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>三季度个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房贷余额同比_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增速开始_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>回升,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>20_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>1_blank class=infotextkey>3年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>四季度达到_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>21%后_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>回落。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>201_blank class=infotextkey>4年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>20_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>1_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>5年二季度间,个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房贷余额同比_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增速_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一直在1718%区间内盘整。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>20_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>1_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>5年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>三季度开始,个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房贷余额同比_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增速快速_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>提升,加_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国家_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不断_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>出台的一_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>系列去_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>库存_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>利好_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政策,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2017年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一季度_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>超过了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>之前_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>5年的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增速_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>水平达到_blank class=infotextkey>35.7%。
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从_blank class=infotextkey>历史_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>数据来看,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2007–_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2008年,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门杠杆率_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>保持在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>20%以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下的较低_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>水平,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2008年末为17.9%。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2009年初至_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>20_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>10年二季度,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国际_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>金融_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>危机_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>发生后,随着_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“四_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>万亿_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>刺激_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政策的推出,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地产_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场快速_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>回暖,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门杠杆率快速_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上升,此后至_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>201_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>年底,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上升_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>趋势减缓。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>20_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>1_blank class=infotextkey>3年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一季度,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门杠杆率达到_blank class=infotextkey>31%,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>首次_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>突破_blank class=infotextkey>30%,此后_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>连续快速_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>升至_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>今。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2018_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>年底,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门杠杆率为5_blank class=infotextkey>3._blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2%,相比_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2008_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>年底_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增长了_blank class=infotextkey>35._blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>3个_blank class=infotextkey>百分点。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2019年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>三季度,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门杠杆率_blank class=infotextkey>继续_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>升至56._blank class=infotextkey>3%,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>环比_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上季度_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上升1个_blank class=infotextkey>百分点,同比_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>去年同期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上升4.1个_blank class=infotextkey>百分点。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国际_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>清算_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>银行_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>布的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>数据_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>显示,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2018年末,所_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有统计_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国家的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>平均杠杆率为59.7%,发达_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国家为7_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2.1%,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新兴_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国家为_blank class=infotextkey>39.9%。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>目前_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门杠杆率_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>低于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国际_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>平均_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>水平,但_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新兴_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国家_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>平均_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>水平。但_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>需要看到的是,在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门杠杆率快速_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上升的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>同_blank class=infotextkey>时,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>其他_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>主要_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>经_blank class=infotextkey>济_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门都_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>经历了_blank class=infotextkey>不同程度的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>去杠杆。例如,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门杠杆率从_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2008年末的95.4%显著_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降至_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2018年末的76._blank class=infotextkey>3%,同期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>日本_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门杠杆率从59.5%_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降至58.1%,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>欧盟从_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>60.4%_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降至57.7%。且_blank class=infotextkey>近_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>年来_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门杠杆率_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增速较快,_blank class=infotextkey>如果_blank class=infotextkey>不加以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>控制,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>未来几年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有可能_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>超越_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>欧盟和_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>日本。
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二是与_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>居民_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>代际更迭_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有关,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>目前,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>80后、90后已逐渐_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场的主力,_blank class=infotextkey>他们_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>再像父辈、祖辈那样热衷于储蓄。
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四是实物类_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>资产_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房正在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>家庭_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>资产的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重要_blank class=infotextkey>组成_blank class=infotextkey>部分,越来越_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>居民热衷于将_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>货币类_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>资产的储蓄存款和_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>理财_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产品转化为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房产。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款余额_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增速_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>持续_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高位也与_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>持续_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增长_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有关,从_blank class=infotextkey>央行_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>布的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>数据来看,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2008_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2018年,个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款余额在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款余额_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>占比为45%54%,即个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款占_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门总_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款的一半左右,是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>居民_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>负债的_blank class=infotextkey>最_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>主要_blank class=infotextkey>组成_blank class=infotextkey>部分。随着_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>近日_blank class=infotextkey>央行强调,要_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>保持个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款_blank class=infotextkey>合理适度_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增长,严禁_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款违规用于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>购_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>预计_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>半年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款余额_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增速将_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有所放缓,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>部门贷存款余额比值的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上升_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>趋势也将趋缓。