小产权房558美_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>联储的升息靴_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>子还_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有落_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地，石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格就已经趴_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下。在前两日_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>狂跌6%的基础_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>1_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2月18圈约WTI_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>原油期货_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>再次_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重挫7._blank class=infotextkey>30%，创_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下1_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>6个月的_blank class=infotextkey>最低点；同日，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>布伦特_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>原油期货_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>暴跌5.6_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2%，创出1_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>4个月的_blank class=infotextkey>最低位。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>原油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>如此断崖般的跳水_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>行情_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>其实只是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>进入_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>四季度以来_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全球石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场跌宕波澜的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>场景之一，在过往两个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多月的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>时间内，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国际能源_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>领域_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上_blank class=infotextkey>演的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大戏可谓精彩纷呈。
先是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国对沙特扬起制裁_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大棒，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国际油价因此很快_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>完成牛熊转换并用1_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2连阴刷_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>史_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上_blank class=infotextkey>最长连跌纪录。紧接着，为了阻止油价跌势，欧佩克与以_blank class=infotextkey>俄罗斯为首的非欧佩克产油国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>达成了自_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>明年1月起减产1_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>20_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>万桶/日的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>协议，油价_blank class=infotextkey>侥幸维持在了50_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美元/桶的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>心理_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>关口。可_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没等_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场紧神经_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>得到片刻_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>放松，欧佩克的创始_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成员国卡塔尔宣_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>布从_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>明年1月份起_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>退出欧佩克。而_blank class=infotextkey>更能_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>吸睛的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新闻是，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>作为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国际能源_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>格局_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>调整的里程碑式_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>事件，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国一举摘掉戴了7_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>5年的石油_blank class=infotextkey>进口国帽_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>子，并华丽转_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>身为石油净出口国。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>按照_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国能源_blank class=infotextkey>部的说法，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国日均出口_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>原油和成品油已达_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>900_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>万桶，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>超过了同期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国_blank class=infotextkey>进口_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>原油和成品油的8_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>80_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>万桶，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>同_blank class=infotextkey>时_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>今年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>原油日均产量将达到_blank class=infotextkey>1170_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>万桶，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>超越沙特登_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全球产油国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>老_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>位置。
石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多种_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>力量的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>博弈_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>除了直接引起油价的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下翻飞_blank class=infotextkey>以及间接导致_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美元、非美_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>货币与_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大宗_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>商品_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格的应_blank class=infotextkey>时起落等_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>常态_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>变化外，更在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>深度_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>推动着_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>原油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场主_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体结构_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>发生_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>空间位移。尤其是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国从净_blank class=infotextkey>进口国到净出口国的角色切换，将_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会在_blank class=infotextkey>不长的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>时期内_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>引导_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国际能源_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>发生自_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上个世纪70_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>年来以来_blank class=infotextkey>最_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大的_blank class=infotextkey>历史洗牌，各种_blank class=infotextkey>竞争_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>力量由此_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>进行_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新组_blank class=infotextkey>合，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场份额也_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>出现_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>再次切割，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>最终催生出_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全球能源_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>格局。
首先，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国把持石油出口国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地位对_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国际能源_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场甚至_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全球的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响力将愈来愈_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大。曾几何_blank class=infotextkey>时，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>通过对沙特_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>提供军事_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>保护的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>条件换取了石油与_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美元_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>挂钩的特权，形_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美元_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>系，因此，很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>情况_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>通过_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美元的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>升值来间接压制油价_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨从而对冲_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国内_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>经_blank class=infotextkey>济_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增长_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成本的，但_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美元的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>升值_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>又必然_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>带来本土_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>企业出口_blank class=infotextkey>竞争力弱化_blank class=infotextkey>以及贸易逆差放_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大之痛。因此，表_blank class=infotextkey>面看_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上去_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>使用_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美元_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>金融_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>武器_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>十分_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>风光，实际_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>背后产_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>生的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>机_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成本并_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小。但_blank class=infotextkey>获得了石油出口主动权后，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国就_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可以摆脱对_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美元的路径依赖，转而_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>通过直接_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>调控石油产量来_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国际_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场油价，_blank class=infotextkey>不仅_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有效_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降低干扰_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成本，丰富调节贸易平衡的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政策工具，而且_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美元与石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>还可_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>实现_blank class=infotextkey>真正_blank class=infotextkey>意义_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上的珠_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>联璧_blank class=infotextkey>合，构造出_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全球的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“双足_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”模式，甚至_blank class=infotextkey>不排除在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美元_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>金融霸权的基础_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上诞生出为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国所掌控的石油霸权。
其次，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国际能源_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>版图_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地位的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>凸显且_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上升为主导_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国际石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场的主角，必然_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>引导_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全球_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>原油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>供应_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>系的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>再_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>配置。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>目前_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格的基本_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>力量是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“欧佩克+_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”，即石油输出国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>组织各_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成员国和_blank class=infotextkey>俄罗斯等非欧佩克_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成员国，其_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>主要角色_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>就是沙特与_blank class=infotextkey>俄罗斯。但是，在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>如_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>今_blank class=infotextkey>获得了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全球石油生产与出口的主控权后，_blank class=infotextkey>原_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“欧佩克+_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”就_blank class=infotextkey>演变_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成了沙特、_blank class=infotextkey>俄罗斯和_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“三驾马车_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”并驾齐驱的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>格局，也_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>就是被西方_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>媒_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体形象称之为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“骆驼+北极熊+秃鹰_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”组_blank class=infotextkey>合，三国的石油产量_blank class=infotextkey>共占_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全球的40%。这样，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>今后欧佩克在制_blank class=infotextkey>定产量_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政策_blank class=infotextkey>时，将_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不得_blank class=infotextkey>不看_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国的脸色_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”行事。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>再次，石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>供应_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>版图的变局将倒逼欧佩克内_blank class=infotextkey>部_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>强化_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>合作紧密度。欧佩克_blank class=infotextkey>最初_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成立的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>主要目的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>就是为团结亚、非、拉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地区产油国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成员_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>共同对抗美英等西方石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>垄断资本的剥削和_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>控制，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>如_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>今，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>控制权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>又_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>回_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>到了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国手_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不能_blank class=infotextkey>不让欧佩克失落_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有加，由此也_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>提醒欧佩克_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成员国所将要_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>面临的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>风险。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>值得_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>注意的是，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>目前欧佩克15个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成员国的石油日产量约为_blank class=infotextkey>3_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>200_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>万桶，占_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全球份额_blank class=infotextkey>不足40%，与_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高峰_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>时期相比已经缩水两成之_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地位_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不断_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下滑，.fan_blank class=infotextkey>g558.com/shajin_blank class=infotextkey>g/ tar_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>沙井_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新_blank class=infotextkey>开盘，作用力日渐式微。更为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重要的是，欧佩克_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成员内_blank class=infotextkey>部_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>现在很难_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“用_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一个声音说话_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”，_blank class=infotextkey>彼此心_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中各_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有各的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小九九_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>无论是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>每一次的增产_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>还是减产决策，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>最终_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>达成一致_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>都是_blank class=infotextkey>困难_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重。尤其是卡塔尔宣_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>布_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>退群_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”，更让_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人们对欧佩克的凝聚力产生了_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小的质疑。尽管卡塔尔的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>退出对欧佩克的石油产量调节_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>构成实质性_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响，但的确构造了_blank class=infotextkey>不太_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>好的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>示范效应。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>如_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>今，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国对_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>原油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响力显著_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>提升，欧佩克_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有被边缘化的可能，要_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>维护_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>自己的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场话语权，欧佩克只_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有在克服_blank class=infotextkey>原先存_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>在的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>道德_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>风险和搭便车_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>问题基础_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上加强自_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>身_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>合作。
_blank class=infotextkey>第四，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>博弈_blank class=infotextkey>势必_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>推动欧佩克与非欧佩克的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>深度_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>利益关_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>联。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上升为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响石油产能的主导_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>力量，意味着石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格走低的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可能性_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增强，但这样的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>走向显然_blank class=infotextkey>不符_blank class=infotextkey>合欧佩克的期望，从而_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>驱动着欧佩克与非欧佩克_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成员之间进一步_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>强化_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>合作_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>关_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>系。统计_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>显示，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>目前欧佩克产量占_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>世界总产量的三分之一，_blank class=infotextkey>俄罗斯石油产量占_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>世界产量的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>八分之一，两者之和占_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>世界总产量的_blank class=infotextkey>近一半；尤其是沙特和_blank class=infotextkey>俄罗斯的石油产能占到_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全球总量的1/4，_blank class=infotextkey>两国在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>原油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响力和话语权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一直_blank class=infotextkey>占据主导_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>位置。为了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>防止_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国对_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>自己话语权的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>侵蚀与稀释，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>无论是欧佩克_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>还是_blank class=infotextkey>俄罗斯，都_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>存在加强_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>合作的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>愿望。据悉，欧佩克与_blank class=infotextkey>俄罗斯正在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>考虑签订一份_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>限为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>10年至_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>20_blank class=infotextkey>年的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>长期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>协议，而且沙特和_blank class=infotextkey>俄罗斯也正致力于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>达成永久性的石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>联盟。因此，动态_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地观察，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>今后欧佩克与非欧佩克的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>合作将_blank class=infotextkey>不只是停_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>留在产量_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>协议_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上，而_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有可能在_blank class=infotextkey>彼此石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公司的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>股权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>投资_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上迈出实质性步伐。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>第五，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新的动态_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>竞争将敦促石油出口国加强与石油_blank class=infotextkey>进口国的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>合作。在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增强了石油产量话语权并制造出油价_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下行预期的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>同_blank class=infotextkey>时，伴随着非化石能源_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>开发_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成本的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降低_blank class=infotextkey>以及对石油替_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>代作用的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增强，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全球_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>占比的减_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>少将_blank class=infotextkey>不可避免，由此将进一步推低石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格，而这样的结果显然_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不是欧佩克_blank class=infotextkey>以及非欧佩克_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成员国所愿意看到的。_blank class=infotextkey>不仅_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>如此，出于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降低_blank class=infotextkey>进口_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成本的目的，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>原油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>需求端的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>力量聚_blank class=infotextkey>合也正在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>发生。据悉，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>作为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全球_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>最_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大和_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>第三_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>原油_blank class=infotextkey>进口国，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中国和_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>印度已_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>启动_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>正式协_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>商_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>程序，积极谋求_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成立_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“买油国俱_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>乐_blank class=infotextkey>部_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”，以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增强谈判_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>博弈力，而且_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“买油国俱_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>乐_blank class=infotextkey>部_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>未来还将邀请_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>日本和_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>韩国加入。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>用户端_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多种因素的混搭与组_blank class=infotextkey>合很可能将石油卖方_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场话语权推入_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一个_blank class=infotextkey>不可逆转的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>轨道，从而_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>决_blank class=infotextkey>定了产油国只_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不断主动拓展与_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费国的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>合作_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>空间并_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不断_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>调整互利_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政策_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>才能_blank class=infotextkey>继续在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国际能源_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场赢得一席之_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地。
_blank class=infotextkey>最后，石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>作为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地缘_blank class=infotextkey>政治的标配_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>色彩在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新的能源_blank class=infotextkey>竞_blank class=infotextkey>合_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>版图_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>显得_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>更加浓烈。对于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>东这一_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全球_blank class=infotextkey>最_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重要的石油产_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>除了施以军事_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>保护的柔性手段外，更_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地采取了_blank class=infotextkey>战争打击与_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>经_blank class=infotextkey>济制裁等强权做法，由此背_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上了_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>少的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>道德骂名。_blank class=infotextkey>不过，_blank class=infotextkey>占据了石油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>供应主_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体的位势后，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国对_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>东事务的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>控制将变得更主动，手法_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>更加隐蔽与_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高明，比如_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国完_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>通过石油产量的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>调控_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>东_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地区的任何一国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>财_blank class=infotextkey>政_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>收入，从而施加_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>自己的绝对_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响力。另外，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国还将运用石油出口_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>优势扩_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大对欧洲_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>覆盖率，以蚕食与挤出_blank class=infotextkey>俄罗斯在欧洲的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>辐射渗透；而_blank class=infotextkey>俄罗斯也将借助管道_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>网络_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>优势，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增强对_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中国、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>日本等亚洲_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>布局。对于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中国而言，基于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全球石油贸易_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中发挥着越来越_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重要的角色以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>及其_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>明显的价差_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>优势，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>同_blank class=infotextkey>时出于平衡_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中美贸易平衡的目的，动态_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上_blank class=infotextkey>势必加_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大对_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>美国的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>原油_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>采购。依此_blank class=infotextkey>看来，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>未来石油的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重要性更_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多的是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>现在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国家_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>安_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>战略图谱_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>村委_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会绿本，而_blank class=infotextkey>不仅仅是纯粹_blank class=infotextkey>意义_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>经_blank class=infotextkey>济_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>发展依赖。
（_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>责任编辑：赵艳萍 HF_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>094）
