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_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>你_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>买的这套_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房是用来自_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住的，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会太_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>考虑_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>出租或_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>投资。反复计较得失的话，反而容易耽误了_blank class=infotextkey>时机。
很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人买_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>第一套_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房，就恰好是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>刚需_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房。相比于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>买_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房吃的那点苦，.fan_blank class=infotextkey>g558.com/futian/ tar_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>福田，先_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上车是很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重要的。
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一、_blank class=infotextkey>如果_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不是纯_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>刚需，带_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>资产_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>配置的眼光来看_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>问题呢?
很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人对于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房价的感受，认为它是稳_blank class=infotextkey>定_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨的。
但这种认知，和实际的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>情况_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一些差_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>异。
链家的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>老板左晖_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>分享过_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一些_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>意思的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>数据。过去_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>十年里，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>北京的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房价涨了5倍，也_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>就是500%。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上海也差_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多。
——_blank class=infotextkey>如果_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>回顾_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>北京过去_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>十年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房价，.fan_blank class=infotextkey>g558.com/lon_blank class=infotextkey>ghua/ tar_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>龙华，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可以看到500%的涨幅里_blank class=infotextkey>面，_blank class=infotextkey>真正剧烈的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>波动_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>就是在1_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2个月的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>时间里_blank class=infotextkey>面。
这1_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2个月贡献了将_blank class=infotextkey>近一半的涨幅。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这是很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>意思的现象。
换句话说，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>就是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房价并_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不是匀速_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨的，而是在某些_blank class=infotextkey>时段里_blank class=infotextkey>面_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>发生了突变。这种突变_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>带来很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多应激反应。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不止是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大家也_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>回顾_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一些_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市，也基本也_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会是这种现象。
比如，从_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>去年到_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>今年初，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>由于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>棚_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>改的_blank class=infotextkey>原因，很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多三四五线_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房价_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有了一次_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>突然的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一些_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房价格，居然很快_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>突破了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>万元_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大关。
而这种_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>最_blank class=infotextkey>近_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>又开始停滞了。
所以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>买_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房，跟_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大势_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>强的关_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>联，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>无论是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>区域_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>开发或_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人才_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政策，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>还是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>楼市_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>调控_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政策，都很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重要。
当_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重点_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>规划宣_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>布_blank class=infotextkey>时，或者_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>具_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体落_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地_blank class=infotextkey>时，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房价都_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>迎来_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨。
在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这些关键点_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上，提前做了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>布局的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人，经_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>常_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>收_blank class=infotextkey>获颇丰。
当_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>身边所_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人都在谈论_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>买_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>问题_blank class=infotextkey>时，很可能_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>买_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>最佳_blank class=infotextkey>时机，这往往是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场过热，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>即将招来_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政府_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>调控的表现。
而当_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>身边所_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人都_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>觉得_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房价_blank class=infotextkey>跌得狠，_blank class=infotextkey>不敢_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>买_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>时候，倒是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可以_blank class=infotextkey>看看_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>合适的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房源。
二、_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>考虑_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大势，从_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>具_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体_blank class=infotextkey>时点_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上来看，一年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>同_blank class=infotextkey>时点_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>买_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>什么_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>区别么。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>还是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有差_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>异性的。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房企经_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>常_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>每年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>10月份，搞促销_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>活动来拉业绩。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>时候，为了冲业绩，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房企的让利_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>空间_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会相对_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一些。
在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这个_blank class=infotextkey>时点_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上出手，通_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>常_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可以捡到_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一些优_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>惠。
而当_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>进入_blank class=infotextkey>第_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>四季度之后，很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多盘卖得差_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多了，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房企_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>觉得业绩也_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>完成得差_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多了，就开始吊着慢慢卖。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格越卖越_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高，折扣越来越_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小。
但_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这个现象也_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不是一成_blank class=infotextkey>不变的。_blank class=infotextkey>如果_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不好、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>销售_blank class=infotextkey>不佳，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>那么过了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>十月，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房企_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>压力增_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大，反而_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会加速_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>推销_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>楼盘。
这_blank class=infotextkey>时出手，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>你反而_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>更_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有可能捡到_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>性价比_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>子。
