小产权房558转眼间_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>到了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>十月份，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>今年的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>楼市_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>终于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有了一点_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“尘埃落_blank class=infotextkey>定_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>意思。
在年初，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>业内_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>还是一片悲观，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>土_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>流拍早已_blank class=infotextkey>不稀罕，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>楼盘去化率罕见跌破_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>20%，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>老_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>业主_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不满_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降价、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高杠杆炒_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房客断供的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消息比比皆是。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>到了_blank class=infotextkey>35月份，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小阳春_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”一扫阴霾，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>长三角各_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>热点_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市一马当先，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>苏州_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>买_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全款都得托_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>关_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>系，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>无锡、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>宁波_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>王频出，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>南京_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>八成_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>首付都拦_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住排队抢_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人群，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>随后_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>沈阳、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重庆、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>西安、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成都开始接力。
然而，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>到了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>7月份之后，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>楼市转凉的速度_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>超出了所_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人的预期。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>数据_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>显示，在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>流拍率_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>方_blank class=infotextkey>面，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>主要_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地级市8月_blank class=infotextkey>共_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>流拍55宗_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地块，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>流拍率为6.07%。其_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>二线_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>流拍率为4.6_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2%，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>环比_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上月_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>流拍率_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨1.98个_blank class=infotextkey>百分点；_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>三四线_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>流拍率_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>最_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高为7.66%，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>环比_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2.58个_blank class=infotextkey>百分点。
同策_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>研究院的统计_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>数据_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>显示，8月，40家典型_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房企融_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>资_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>金额为_blank class=infotextkey>368._blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>26_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>亿元，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>环比_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下跌58.15%，接_blank class=infotextkey>近5月的_blank class=infotextkey>最低点。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>主要债权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>融资_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>方式融_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>资_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>金额均_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大幅_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下跌，其_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公司债_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>融资_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大跌_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>超_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>八成，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>信托_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>融资_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大跌_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>超六成。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>融资额_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降低，必然意味着_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房企_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>现_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>金_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>流_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>难以为继，想要扛过难熬的日_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>子，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>除了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降价促销、_blank class=infotextkey>收缩战线以外，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>第二条路_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可走。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>那么，在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>10月之后，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>年底_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>之前，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>苏州_blank class=infotextkey>农民_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>过户吗，短短的三个月_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>时间_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>楼市_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>又_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>出现_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>哪些_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>变化？_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>购_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房者该_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“出手_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>买_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>还是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>再等等_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”？
笔者认为，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我们_blank class=infotextkey>应该从以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>几个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>方_blank class=infotextkey>面来_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>考虑。
众所周知，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>10月8日起，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新发放_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>商业性个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>利率，以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>最_blank class=infotextkey>近_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一个月相应_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>限的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场报价_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>利率(LPR)为_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>定价_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>基准加点形成。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公告_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>主要针对_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新发放个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>利率，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>存量个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>利率仍按_blank class=infotextkey>原_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>合同执行。
参考9月_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>20日_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>布的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新一期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>贷款_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场报价_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>利率，1年期LPR为4._blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2％，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>5年期以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上LPR为4.85％。相比前值，1年期LPR_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降5基点，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>连续_blank class=infotextkey>第_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>二次_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降；_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>5年期以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上LPR_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>变化。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>那么，换锚之_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>后的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房贷_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>利率，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>变化吗？
至_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>少从一_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>二线_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市的表现来看，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有任何_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>变化，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>无论是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>具_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体执行_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>利率，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>还是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>每个月的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房贷负担，与_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>原来相差无几。
但是，_blank class=infotextkey>部分_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>三四线_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市，因为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>库存、额度、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人口、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>供需的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>情况_blank class=infotextkey>不同，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>少_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>少执行_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>起来，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>首套_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>利率_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有所_blank class=infotextkey>不同，毕竟，央_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>行的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>规_blank class=infotextkey>定是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>首套_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>低于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>5年期LPR即可。
照这样来看，假如_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>你所_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>在的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>年底_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>之前_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房贷_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>利率能_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降_blank class=infotextkey>30个基点以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上，出手_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>买_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房也_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不是_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可以。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市分化在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>最_blank class=infotextkey>近_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>几个月表现的越来越_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>明显，_blank class=infotextkey>最典型的，莫过于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“因城施策_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>变化。
比如，从9月份至_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>今，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我们既看_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>到了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>湖_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>南临澧、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>安徽宿州实行_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>购_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>补贴，河_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>南_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>三四线_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全_blank class=infotextkey>面放开_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>落户，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>又看_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>到了呼和浩特三套_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房停贷、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>无锡_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>楼市_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公积_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>金门槛_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>再度_blank class=infotextkey>收紧，既_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>放松的，也_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>更加严格的。
这_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>就是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>目前_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>调控_blank class=infotextkey>最典型的_blank class=infotextkey>特征，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>放松的，也_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>收紧的，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不能一_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>概而论。
对_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>购_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房者来说，假如_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>你所_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>在的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市既_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>补贴，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>又_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>落户优_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>惠，特价_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>又_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>少，在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>年底_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>之前是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>考虑看_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房的，但是，_blank class=infotextkey>如果_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>调控氛围只紧_blank class=infotextkey>不松，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有任何可乘之机，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>再等等也无妨。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>最_blank class=infotextkey>近几年，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人才争夺战，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>每个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>头戏，送钱、送_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房、送_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>户口，无门槛，给_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>补贴，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>五花_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>八门的措施层出_blank class=infotextkey>不穷。
反映到_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>数据_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我们看到_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>深圳在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全_blank class=infotextkey>部_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中表现_blank class=infotextkey>最为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>突出，17年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人口净_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>流入率达65%，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>1_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>5年18年年均复_blank class=infotextkey>合_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人口_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增速为4.6%，均在所_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中居于前列。强_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>二线_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市正在批量崛起，比如_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>杭州、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成都、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>长沙_blank class=infotextkey>近_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>年来_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>常_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人口_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增速远_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中位数_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>水平。
此外，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>东北除省_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会和_blank class=infotextkey>计划_blank class=infotextkey>单列市外的_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>少_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市，_blank class=infotextkey>以及_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中西_blank class=infotextkey>部的_blank class=infotextkey>部分非_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中心_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市，可能正_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>面临着_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>常_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人口_blank class=infotextkey>收缩的困境，比如_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>四川的内江、资阳，河_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>南的周口、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>湖北的荆州等。
当_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人才_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>成为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市_blank class=infotextkey>最_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重要的_blank class=infotextkey>竞争力_blank class=infotextkey>时，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>每个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市，_blank class=infotextkey>不管_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地位_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高低，都要在抢_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>方_blank class=infotextkey>面打起_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>十二分_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>精神。
毕竟，抢_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人这_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>件事，如同_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“逆水行舟_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”，_blank class=infotextkey>不进则_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>退。
假如_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>你所_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>在的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市到处既_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>意愿，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>又_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>力度，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>还_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政策和_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人口_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>流入的_blank class=infotextkey>成效，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>刚需_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>首套_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房，是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>考虑_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>年底前出手的。
仅仅只_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>考虑这三个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>方_blank class=infotextkey>面，显然也是_blank class=infotextkey>不够的。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“玻璃_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>王_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中国首善_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”之称的曹德旺，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>近日_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>接受专访_blank class=infotextkey>时提到：_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>现在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>建筑_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>工_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地劳工一天的工资四五百元，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一个月_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>按照_blank class=infotextkey>30天计算，工资_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>就是1_blank class=infotextkey>5000元。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>现在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大量的劳工_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>流向了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地产_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>行业，假如工厂的工资和_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房企的工资_blank class=infotextkey>一样，那制造业_blank class=infotextkey>几乎无利可图。
一叶落而知秋，连_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>工_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地都_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这么赚钱，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>买_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房、卖_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房的利润可想而知，过去_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这些年，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地产呈现_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>普涨式的_blank class=infotextkey>爆发性_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增长，既拉动了关_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>联_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>行业的飞速_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>发展，也让很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多生意_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人、工厂的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>生存_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>空间被压缩。
从_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>改至_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>今，正是因为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>子的赚钱效应，让_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房企、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>购_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房者、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>投机客尝_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>到了甜_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>头，乃至家电、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>家具、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>工程机械、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>装_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>修、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>建材等_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>行业也跟着跳跃式_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>发展。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>经_blank class=infotextkey>济学家姜_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>超日前_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>发_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>布_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>报告指出，从_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2000年至_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>20_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>10年，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城镇化率年均升幅为1.4%，其_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>20_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>10年当_blank class=infotextkey>年的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城镇化率就增加了1.6%。
而从_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>20_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>10年到_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2018年的年均升幅_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降至1._blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2%，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2018年当_blank class=infotextkey>年的升幅仅为1.06%，这意味着_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城镇化的进程正在显著放缓。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我们_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>应该把以往_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“无脑炒_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>就能赚钱_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>套路当成准则，更_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不要把过去_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>三年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>时间的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房价_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>波动，以偏_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>概_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全的认为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房价_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会永远涨_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下去_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”。
出手_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>买_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>还是_blank class=infotextkey>继续等待，已经_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不是基于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>波动做出的举动，而是根据_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>购_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房者自_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>身的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>情况、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>异同来衡_blank class=infotextkey>定，财力是否足够？_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>购_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>资格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>问题？是为了自_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>还是赚差价？搞_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>清楚了这_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>几点，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>再_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>考虑_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>买_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>问题也_blank class=infotextkey>不迟。
