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_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>由于缺乏相关_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>登记_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>备案,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>规模统计也_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一直滞后、_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全,甚至互相矛盾。相对可_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>信的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>数据是:
截至_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2007年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>半年,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全国约_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有1/_blank class=infotextkey>3的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城镇_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>住宅为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房;
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华夏_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>供给_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>经_blank class=infotextkey>济学_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>研究院首席_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>经_blank class=infotextkey>济学家
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然而即便_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>如此,也_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不可能对所_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房采取同_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一种极端的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>办法,那得_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>激发出_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>少_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>社_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会矛盾?
总的来说,过去_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>深圳_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一直都在探索,也具_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有其_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>特殊性,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>利用特区的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>立法权,已将所_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>土_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>终极_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权都_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>明确为国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有,_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>存在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>集_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>土_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地了。
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在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>问题_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>深圳先行先试,能_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>提供经验教训,但_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>其他_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地区如生搬硬套恐怕也_blank class=infotextkey>不行。要允许各个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地方_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>试点,进一步积累经验,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一个渐进的过程,我估计还_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>需要相对较长的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>时间去探索和实践。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地产税_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>立法和适_blank class=infotextkey>时分_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地区先后_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>推进其_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>改革,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会倒逼这一过程。
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民间_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不断_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地产生_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房,为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>什么?_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>便宜。而拥_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>土_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地的_blank class=infotextkey>一方,也_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>就是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>集_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体_blank class=infotextkey>单位,比如_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>村委_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会或者_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>乡镇_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政府,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>它们_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>又_blank class=infotextkey>不愿意把_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>土_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地白白让_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国家或_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上级_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政府给征走,因为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>它们_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>得到的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>利益很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>少,所以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>它们愿意盖_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>子卖。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人_blank class=infotextkey>想买_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人想_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>开发、想卖,但是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政府要_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>叫停_blank class=infotextkey>他们。为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>什么呢?是因为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我们_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国家现_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>行的财税_blank class=infotextkey>制度_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>就是这样的。
_blank class=infotextkey>如果允许农_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地直接跟_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>开发_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场对接,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地方_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政府就_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地卖了。从_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>数据看,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>平均_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>50%的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地方_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>财_blank class=infotextkey>政_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>收入来自卖_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地,这还_blank class=infotextkey>不包括_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>开发、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>交易,只是卖_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地。所以,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政府基于财税理由,是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>认可_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房的。
当然了,对于已经产_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>生的很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>现在要_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>处理很难。我打过_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一个比方,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>孩_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>子是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>超_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>生的,违反了_blank class=infotextkey>计划生育_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>法规,但已经生出_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>来了,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>你能把他扔到井里吗?_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不可能的。
所以,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政府_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没法_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>儿管,嘴_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上说_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我们要坚决_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>治理,但实际是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>办法采取_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>行动,因为已经卖给_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>老_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>百姓了,_blank class=infotextkey>如果强行把它_blank class=infotextkey>推倒,毫无_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>疑问_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会产生激烈的冲突。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政府也_blank class=infotextkey>不敢_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下令把_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全_blank class=infotextkey>部_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>拆掉,也_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>拆_blank class=infotextkey>不掉。但是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>又_blank class=infotextkey>不敢说让其_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>合法化,_blank class=infotextkey>如果让_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>存量_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>合法化,意味着_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人就_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>受到鼓舞,_blank class=infotextkey>继续_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>开发,所以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这是个两难的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>问题。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>主要_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>集_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中在一_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>二线_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>深圳是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>土_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场和_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地产_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>最_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>特殊的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房的_blank class=infotextkey>比例_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可以说在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全国所_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>最_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高,这由_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>发展的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>特殊性_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>决_blank class=infotextkey>定。
_blank class=infotextkey>不过,这次的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政策并_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有一刀切,更_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>还是用_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>发展的眼光_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>解决_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>问题。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>短期看,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>调整而_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不是判_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>死刑。
从_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全国看,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房在一_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>二线_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市的_blank class=infotextkey>比例_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>最_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>深圳_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>占比_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>超过一半,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>其他_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>城市基本都在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>10%左右。从整_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>规模看,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>目前尚无准确_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>数据,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>主要是因为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>产权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>房_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>建设_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有审批,_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>容积率也_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有审批。
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