小产权房558_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>山_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>东_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>方_blank class=infotextkey>面的统计_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>数据_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>显示，8月_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>19日8月_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>25日，据_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>山_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>东_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全省_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>6个集贸_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>定点_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>监测，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>山_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>东省生猪_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高位向_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上，同比_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>回升68._blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>24%，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>环比_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>回升_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>1_blank class=infotextkey>3.94%;猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格同比升_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高56._blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>24%，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>环比升_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>10.76%。截至9月_blank class=infotextkey>3日，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>山_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>东省生猪_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>平均_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>26元/_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公斤，猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格为4_blank class=infotextkey>3元/_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公斤。
_blank class=infotextkey>农业_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>农村_blank class=infotextkey>部9月_blank class=infotextkey>3日_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>发_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>布的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>监测周报_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>显示，8月_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>26日8月_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>30日，16省(市)瘦肉型白条猪肉出厂_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格总_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>指数的周_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>平均值为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>每_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公斤_blank class=infotextkey>35.6_blank class=infotextkey>3元，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>环比涨9._blank class=infotextkey>3%，同比涨9_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2._blank class=infotextkey>3%。据_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>商务_blank class=infotextkey>部_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>监测，8月_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>26日至9月1日，肉类批发_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>不同幅度_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨，其_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中猪肉批发_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>每_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公斤_blank class=infotextkey>34.59元，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨8.9%。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人调侃式_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地感叹，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“二师兄_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>身价_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>超师父_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”，吃_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不起肉了。猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨，确实_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响了_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>居民_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“吃肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”，_blank class=infotextkey>不过，从调侃式_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地感叹_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我们也能感到_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大家心情_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>比较淡_blank class=infotextkey>定，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>没_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>觉得_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一个难_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>解决的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>问题。
潮起潮落，猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>其实_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一直_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>存在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“周期率_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>问题。拨开种种迷雾，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我们总能看到_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场这只看_blank class=infotextkey>不见的手，在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>背后隐隐约约_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地起着作用。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“二师兄_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>身价_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>超师父_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我们要相_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>信_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“猪周期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”，相_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>信_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场的自我调节能力。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>今年猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多种_blank class=infotextkey>原因。非洲猪瘟、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“猪周期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”因素、_blank class=infotextkey>部分_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地方_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“禁养令_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”等因素叠加，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>造成生猪产能_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降较_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>供应偏紧，是本轮猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨的主因。
据_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>专家_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>分析，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>最_blank class=infotextkey>近猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>持续_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>主要_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有四_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>方_blank class=infotextkey>面_blank class=infotextkey>原因：一是受非洲猪瘟疫情_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响，前期扑杀生猪、出栏加快，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>同_blank class=infotextkey>时_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>养殖户补栏积极性受_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响，导致存栏量显著减_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>少;二是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“猪周期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”，此前猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格跌至低点，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>目前正处于_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“猪周期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上升_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>阶段;_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>三是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一些_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地方_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>出台了生猪禁养、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>限养的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>规_blank class=infotextkey>定;四是结构性因素，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>目前_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>规模_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>养殖户加快_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>退出，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>规模养殖增加的产能被抵消。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大众_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>日报·_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新锐_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大众_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>记者观察认为，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上_blank class=infotextkey>面四个因素_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“猪周期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一个根本性的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>决_blank class=infotextkey>定性因素。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>无论是因为疫情捕杀生猪，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>还是因为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>环_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>保_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>问题_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>出台生猪禁养_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>限养_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>规_blank class=infotextkey>定，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>还是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>养殖户加快_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>退出，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>其实_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>背后_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>都_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一个根本前提：_blank class=infotextkey>不缺肉。
正是因为猪肉前_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一段_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>时间_blank class=infotextkey>不缺，供_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大于求，猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格跌至低点，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不到餐桌，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有关_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>方_blank class=infotextkey>面和_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>地方才对养猪_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>出台了各种_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>限制性_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>规_blank class=infotextkey>定。_blank class=infotextkey>应该看到，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>注意疫情和_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>环_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>保_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>问题也是必要的，但凡事要掌握度和火候。
当前，生猪数量减_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>少，供_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>小于求，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“猪周期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”恢复为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上升_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>阶段，是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一种_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场正_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>常调节，猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上升也是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一种正_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>常现象。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“猪周期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>明显_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>特点，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>就是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“猪周期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”的长短，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>受到猪的生_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>长期的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>限制，这也就意味着，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“猪周期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”一旦_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>步入_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上升期或_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降期，至_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>少要_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>持续_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一个生_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>长期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>时间。
猪_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一个生_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>长期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>时间是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>少呢?_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>回答是67个月。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>目前猪的宰杀_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重量_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大约在951_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>10_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公斤，过去农家自养一_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>头猪，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一般_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>需要_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2年到_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>3年，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>现在生猪长得_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>如此快，_blank class=infotextkey>原因是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新型饲料_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>造成的。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一般_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>情况_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下，很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多猪场，只要猪达到90_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公斤就_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可以出栏，但_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>到了90_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公斤之后，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>养殖户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一般_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>进行_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一段观察。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>第一是权衡猪的生长和饲料消耗之_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>间的_blank class=infotextkey>收益比_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>问题。猪_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>低于90_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公斤就出栏的话，猪的快速生长_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>时间还未充分_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>利用，对养殖者来说_blank class=infotextkey>不太_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>划算;可是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重过_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大，猪_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>每胖一_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公斤就意味着猪_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>每天消耗的饲料越_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多，也_blank class=infotextkey>不太_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>划算，所以，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一般_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>情况_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公猪_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>到了90_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公斤就_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会择机出栏。
_blank class=infotextkey>第二是观察_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格。很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多养猪户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会将猪养到1_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>10_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公斤在出栏，这一_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>方_blank class=infotextkey>面是在期待_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>好的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格，择机出手;一_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>方_blank class=infotextkey>面因为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>收购者和_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费者都希望猪_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>比较_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重点好。当然，_blank class=infotextkey>如果猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>不稳_blank class=infotextkey>定，养猪户_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会根据_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>每天猪肉的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增长来_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>决_blank class=infotextkey>定猪出栏的_blank class=infotextkey>时机。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一般_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>情况_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下，猪在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>良好的饲养_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>条件_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下长_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大，长成1_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>10_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>公斤_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>需要67个月。根据_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这个生_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>长期，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>目前猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高价_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>运行_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>趋势，估计将延续到_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>明年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2月份附_blank class=infotextkey>近。
_blank class=infotextkey>农业_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>农村_blank class=infotextkey>部畜牧兽医局_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有关负责_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人判断_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>分析，从_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>去年_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>半年以来的生猪存栏和能繁母猪存栏_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>下_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>降_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>情况判断，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>今年猪肉产量可能_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>出现_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>明显减产，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>供需_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>存在一_blank class=infotextkey>定_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>缺口，春_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>节前生猪_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格仍将_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高位_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>运行。_blank class=infotextkey>这位负责_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>分析，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>通过_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>政策_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>引导和生产扶持，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>预计_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>明年生猪生产将逐步恢复，生猪_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格将逐步_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>回落。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大众_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>日报·_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>新锐_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大众_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>记者观察判断，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>分析基本准确，_blank class=infotextkey>如果_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不用从_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国外_blank class=infotextkey>进口手段，本次_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上升的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“猪周期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”，春_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>节前_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>结束，将延续到_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>春节之后。但_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>目前_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国际_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国内_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>市场是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>联通的，而且_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有关_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>方_blank class=infotextkey>面和_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>企业已经开始从_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>国外_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>大量_blank class=infotextkey>进口肉猪和肉牛肉羊，所以，_blank class=infotextkey>不排除本轮_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“猪周期_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有提前_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>结束的可能。
猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>居民餐桌_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费是必然的，但_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>这个_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响说_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重可_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重，说轻可轻，完_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>全_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可以_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>保持一份平_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>常心。
一是_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>我国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>居民肉类_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费已经_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多样化。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>目前，猪肉在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中国_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>居民的肉食_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>占比达到6_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>2%，_blank class=infotextkey>不可谓_blank class=infotextkey>不_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重，但要看到，牛_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>羊肉、鸡鸭鱼等_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>其他肉类_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费占到48%，也是很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高的权_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重。据_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>调查，在本轮猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨后，鸡肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>明显_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>增长，这就说明，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>居民_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>会根据_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>变化，自我调节_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费。所以，猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨，虽然_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>群众_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>生活，但整_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>影响_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>限。
二是在_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人们_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>生活_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>水平提_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>今天，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费者对饲料类养殖牲畜的肉类_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费，很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>保持_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>一种适度、_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>谨慎_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费的态度，肉类_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>消费_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多样化也与这_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>方_blank class=infotextkey>面_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有关。
_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>三是出于直接的_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>健康_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>需要，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有些_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>生活_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>中减_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>少了肉摄入量。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>现在，因为_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>生活好了，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>体_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>超_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>重现象随处可见，随之_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>带来_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>高血压、血脂稠等_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>健康_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>问题，所以，猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格一_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>有些_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>人说_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>“正好_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>可以减肥_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>”。_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>你看，很_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>多_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>群众对猪肉_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>价格_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>上涨，_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>其实_blank class=infotextkey>get=_blank class=infotextkey>保持了一份很淡然的态度。
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